Why plants watch these

Tortilla manufacturers live in the spread between finished-goods pricing and input costs. Soft-wheat and hard-wheat flour (and masa from corn) dominate the bill of materials; vegetable oils and shortening drive frying and bake-line costs; natural gas powers ovens and plant heat; diesel (ULSD) shows up in inbound ingredients and outbound freight. Lard and animal fat still matter for some formulations — the Lard card charts the BLS producer price index (FRED) rather than a futures proxy.

Wheat (flour direction)

Hard-wheat flour pressure for wheat tortillas and wraps — chart uses the liquid WEAT ETF as an embeddable direction proxy.

Chart summary: a daily price line for the WEAT wheat fund, used here as a rough guide to which way wheat and flour costs are moving. A rising line means wheat has gotten more expensive over the period shown; a falling line means it has gotten cheaper. It is not a flour price. Current prices are on TradingView through the link below.

Embedded: AMEX:WEAT (Teucrium Wheat). CME flour-relevant futures: KE1! / ZW1! (not available in free TradingView embeds).

Open KC HRW wheat futures (KE1!) on TradingView (opens in new tab)

Corn (masa direction)

Corn feedstock direction for nixtamal and dry-masa plants — chart uses the liquid CORN ETF as an embeddable proxy.

Chart summary: a daily price line for the CORN fund, used here as a rough guide to which way corn and masa costs are moving. A rising line means corn has gotten more expensive over the period shown; a falling line means it has gotten cheaper. It is not a masa price. Current prices are on TradingView through the link below.

Embedded: AMEX:CORN (Teucrium Corn). CME corn futures: ZC1! (blocked in free TradingView site embeds).

Open corn futures (ZC1!) on TradingView (opens in new tab)

Soybean complex (oils / shortening)

Vegetable oil and shortening direction for frying and bake lines — chart uses SOYB (soybean complex). Soybean oil futures themselves are embed-blocked.

Chart summary: a daily price line for the SOYB soybean fund, used here as a rough guide to which way vegetable oil and shortening costs are moving. A rising line means soybeans have gotten more expensive over the period shown; a falling line means they have gotten cheaper. Current prices are on TradingView through the link below.

Embedded: AMEX:SOYB (Teucrium Soybean). CME soybean oil futures: ZL1!.

Open soybean oil futures (ZL1!) on TradingView (opens in new tab)

Energy / freight (diesel context)

Freight and energy direction for inbound ingredients and outbound loads — chart uses UGA (gasoline ETF), closer to road fuel than crude. Heating oil / ULSD futures stay one click away.

Chart summary: a daily price line for the UGA gasoline fund, used here as a rough guide to which way fuel and freight costs are moving. A rising line means gasoline has gotten more expensive over the period shown; a falling line means it has gotten cheaper. It is not a diesel price. Current prices are on TradingView through the link below.

Embedded: AMEX:UGA (gasoline ETF) as a road-fuel / freight direction proxy. CME heating oil / ULSD proxy futures: HO1!. (USO crude also works as AMEX:USO.)

Open heating oil futures (HO1!) on TradingView (opens in new tab)

Natural gas (plant energy)

Oven and plant heat costs — chart uses the liquid UNG ETF as an embeddable direction proxy.

Chart summary: a daily price line for the UNG natural gas fund, used here as a rough guide to which way oven and plant energy costs are moving. A rising line means natural gas has gotten more expensive over the period shown; a falling line means it has gotten cheaper. It is not a utility rate. Current prices are on TradingView through the link below.

Embedded: AMEX:UNG (US Natural Gas Fund). CME Henry Hub futures: NG1!.

Open natural gas futures (NG1!) on TradingView (opens in new tab)

Lard PPI

BLS producer price index for lard, inedible tallow, and other greases (ex-wool grease) — useful for plants still running animal-fat formulations. Monthly index, not a cash spot quote or futures contract.

Chart summary: a monthly line of the government producer price index for lard, inedible tallow and other greases over the last five years. A rising line means producers are charging more; a falling line means they are charging less. The full numbers are on FRED through the link below.

Chart: FRED PCU3116133116132 — last 5 years of the Producer Price Index by Industry: Rendering and Meat Byproduct Processing: Lard, Inedible Tallow, and Other Greases, Excluding Wool Grease (BLS; monthly, not seasonally adjusted). Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis / BLS. Click the chart for the interactive series.

Open series on FRED (opens in new tab) Lean hog futures (HE1!) on TradingView (opens in new tab)